Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.142274 1.290920 1.453575 1.645091 1.864826 2.109527 2.403328
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.925089 1.127989 1.369313 1.678900 2.067526 2.541823 3.168496
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.784818 1.005292 1.282185 1.658160 2.159482 2.810673 3.729938
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.699213 0.932378 1.238572 1.674356 2.285508 3.122301 4.372359
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.620623 0.855903 1.176681 1.651790 2.347465 3.344244 4.908553
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.560876 0.796867 1.129502 1.640051 2.417231 3.577647 5.482873
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.494674 0.720897 1.048988 1.568277 2.385867 3.651381 5.813476
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.464236 0.693817 1.036362 1.595474 2.506166 3.968205 6.569657
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.438930 0.671603 1.028099 1.627072 2.634541 4.309155 7.407314
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.412531 0.644958 1.009869 1.639595 2.730878 4.604688 8.200949
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.388099 0.619093 0.990130 1.646745 2.817195 4.889991 9.010430
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.370121 0.602064 0.983000 1.673929 2.940194 5.252185 10.011643
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.342328 0.566922 0.943404 1.641954 2.955565 5.423274 10.672783
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.329097 0.555589 0.943686 1.681684 3.108790 5.874287 11.973164
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.307544 0.527901 0.912740 1.660343 3.141758 6.091917 12.808721
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.293615 0.512577 0.902467 1.676617 3.249608 6.471661 14.054453
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.275488 0.488219 0.873628 1.654012 3.275871 6.683731 14.948962
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.260381 0.468291 0.851411 1.642257 3.322929 6.944789 15.997074
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.239026 0.435142 0.801640 1.570377 3.234710 6.898029 16.288322
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.231289 0.427366 0.800151 1.597613 3.364193 7.355832 17.915077
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.224537 0.420978 0.800814 1.629258 3.506568 7.860303 19.745636
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.216137 0.410737 0.792960 1.641800 3.606579 8.276025 21.408064
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.207742 0.399916 0.783092 1.648960 3.694633 8.673037 23.085914